Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Австралияwin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Новая Зеландияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Австралия
No games played over 6 months.
Новая Зеландия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
632 picks · 446 bans
Rubick
597 picks · 340 bans
Pangolier
434 picks · 641 bans
Phoenix
422 picks · 486 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 357 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 381 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 496 bans
Puck
318 picks · 976 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Австралия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Австралия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Австралия 57%Новая Зеландия 43%
The model gave 57% on Австралия — the game was taken by Австралия.
Game 2prediction correct
Австралия 57%Новая Зеландия 43%
The model gave 57% on Австралия — the game was taken by Австралия.
Model check result
Model favoriteАвстралия · 57%
Series resultАвстралия 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2