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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 28 games
79%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Poloson · 26 games
65%
Tiny
Tiny
Ame · 23 games
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 22 games
73%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ame · 20 games
55%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 18 games
61%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Poloson · 18 games
61%

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 31 game
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 28 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
73%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 26 games
77%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 23 games
78%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
61%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Satanic · 22 games
64%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Satanic · 22 games
68%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
358 picks · 255 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
318 picks · 700 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 282 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
283 picks · 149 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
281 picks · 750 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
260 picks · 606 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
255 picks · 521 bans
58%
Marci
Marci
244 picks · 500 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 55%
Hero pool strength54% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total53% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:9
Xtreme Gaming 50%PARIVISION 50%
The model gave 50% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 30:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordAme
61% · 32 games43% · 174 games
TerrorbladeSatanic
Terrorblade
Undying
UndyingXxs
48% · 100 games50% · 61 game
LycanDM
Lycan
Slardar
SlardarXm
53% · 63 games51% · 177 games
PuckNo[o]ne
Puck
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanXinQ
53% · 226 games48% · 34 games
Slark9Class
Slark
Disruptor
DisruptorxNova
48% · 103 games50% · 78 games
SnapfireDukalis
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct17:21
Xtreme Gaming 48%PARIVISION 52%
The model gave 52% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 52:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackAme
55% · 252 games47% · 47 games
BroodmotherSatanic
Broodmother
Lycan
LycanXxs
53% · 82 games47% · 190 games
InvokerNo[o]ne
Invoker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
40% · 252 games54% · 131 game
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Hoodwink
HoodwinkXinQ
49% · 147 games57% · 273 games
Monkey King9Class
Monkey King
Disruptor
DisruptorxNova
45% · 104 games52% · 196 games
PugnaDukalis
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 53%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2