The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 0:2series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Heroic
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 25 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 20 games
Kunkkaoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 18 games
Tusk
Scofield · 16 games
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 15 games
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 15 games
Beastmastersignature
4nalog · 14 games
PARIVISION
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 31 game
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 27 games
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 26 games
Slarksignature
9Class · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
Medusasignature
Satanic · 22 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Satanic · 22 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
374 picks · 281 bans
Puck
320 picks · 717 bans
Dark Willow
300 picks · 159 bans
Tusk
299 picks · 289 bans
Batrider
286 picks · 775 bans
Dawnbreaker
265 picks · 616 bans
Nature's Prophet
265 picks · 527 bans
Marci
244 picks · 494 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 54%
Hero pool strength59% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 7
Model total82% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:32
Heroic 32%PARIVISION 68%
The model gave 68% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 52:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaYuma
LifestealerSatanic
Puck4nalog
BeastmasterNo[o]ne
PudgeWisper
Night StalkerDM
ClockwerkScofield
Monkey King9Class
Crystal MaidenKJ
SnapfireDukalis
Game 2prediction correct8:34
Heroic 31%PARIVISION 69%
The model gave 69% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 38:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaYuma
Templar AssassinSatanic
Shadow Fiend4nalog
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
MarsWisper
PhoenixDM
Nature's ProphetKJ
Monkey King9Class
BaneScofield
Elder TitanDukalis
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 82%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2