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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Tiny
Tiny
Nightfall · 39 games
51%
Tusk
Tusk
Mira · 38 games
58%
Magnus
Magnussignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 35 games
74%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Mira · 35 games
54%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Nightfall · 25 games
64%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 25 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 25 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Panto · 24 games
50%

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 31 game
65%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 29 games
59%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
68%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 26 games
81%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 24 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
430 picks · 374 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
352 picks · 184 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
334 picks · 330 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
331 picks · 784 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
322 picks · 828 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
275 picks · 365 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
274 picks · 538 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
273 picks · 621 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total58% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:30
Aurora Gaming 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenNightfall
48% · 62 games62% · 27 games
Troll WarlordPure~
Troll Warlord
Puck
Puckkiyotaka
50% · 147 games50% · 166 games
Shadow FiendgpK~
Shadow Fiend
Earthshaker
EarthshakerTORONTOTOKYO
57% · 73 games41% · 115 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMira
51% · 137 games47% · 123 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Snapfire
SnapfirePanto
55% · 106 games46% · 94 games
DisruptorKataomi
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct7:35
Aurora Gaming 46%BETBOOM TEAM 54%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenNightfall
47% · 87 games57% · 85 games
LycanMieRo
Lycan
Primal Beast
Primal BeastTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 107 games48% · 173 games
MarciPure~
Marci
Puck
Puckkiyotaka
49% · 241 game57% · 162 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Snapfire
SnapfirePanto
54% · 95 games42% · 106 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Pugna
PugnaMira
50% · 106 games44% · 110 games
DisruptorKataomi
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 58%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2