The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Nemesisloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Tiny
Tims · 18 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
JaCkky · 16 games
Kunkkasignature
Armel · 14 games
Mirana
Tims · 12 games
Silenceroften banned
Jaunuel · 12 games
Dragon Knight
Armel · 11 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Jabz · 10 games
Pangoliersignature
Jabz · 10 games
Team Nemesis
Batrideroften banned
Jing · 5 games
Tiny
Akashi · 5 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Raven · 4 games
Doomoften banned
Raven · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 4 games
Snapfire
Jing · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Raven · 3 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Mac · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
436 picks · 385 bans
Dark Willow
355 picks · 188 bans
Tusk
336 picks · 340 bans
Puck
331 picks · 791 bans
Batrider
323 picks · 837 bans
Tiny
277 picks · 213 bans
Pangolier
276 picks · 373 bans
Nature's Prophet
275 picks · 539 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 55%
Hero pool strength55% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total70% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:8
BOOM Esports 59%Team Nemesis 41%
The model gave 59% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 29:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaJaCkky
UrsaAkashi
Void SpiritArmel
DoomRaven
AxeJabz
LeshracMac
PugnaJaunuel
MuertaJing
TinyTims
Game 2prediction correct28:9
BOOM Esports 62%Team Nemesis 38%
The model gave 62% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 30:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingJaCkky
TerrorbladeAkashi
Void SpiritArmel
Queen of PainMac
AbaddonJabz
DawnbreakerRaven
MiranaJaunuel
BatriderJing
EarthshakerTims
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 70%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2