The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Nemesisloss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Nemesis
Batrideroften banned
Jing · 5 games
Tiny
Akashi · 5 games
Doomoften banned
Raven · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 4 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Raven · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Raven · 3 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Mac · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Raven · 3 games
Wildcard Gaming
Tuskoften banned
Bignum · 26 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 24 games
Pucksignature
RCY · 23 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 23 games
Tiny
YamSun · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 19 games
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
Bane
Bignum · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
439 picks · 393 bans
Dark Willow
357 picks · 191 bans
Tusk
337 picks · 343 bans
Puck
331 picks · 791 bans
Batrider
322 picks · 839 bans
Tiny
278 picks · 214 bans
Dawnbreaker
274 picks · 616 bans
Pangolier
274 picks · 384 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:32
Team Nemesis 60%Wildcard Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 25:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LycanRaven
Queen of PainRCY
LunaAkashi
TidehunterYamSun
Sand KingMac
DoomFayde
SnapfireJing
PugnaSpeeed
40% · 52 games
DisruptorBignum
Game 2prediction missed10:38
Team Nemesis 59%Wildcard Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 38:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
EarthshakerMac
AbaddonYamSun
Dark SeerRaven
LeshracRCY
WeaverAkashi
LycanFayde
MuertaJing
PugnaSpeeed
50% · 200 games
ClockwerkBignum
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 65%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2