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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincerewin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Heroicloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere

Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 22 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 16 games
44%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 16 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
Copy · 16 games
56%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BOOM · 13 games
69%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Ari · 12 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 11 games
73%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
70%

Heroic

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 26 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
32%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 18 games
39%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 15 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 15 games
67%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 15 games
47%
Phoenix
Phoenix
KJ · 15 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
4nalog · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
444 picks · 405 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
358 picks · 193 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
340 picks · 345 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
331 picks · 799 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
321 picks · 844 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
282 picks · 391 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
281 picks · 217 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
279 picks · 537 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% Natus Vincere
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total62% Natus Vincere
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:18
Natus Vincere 56%Heroic 44%
The model gave 56% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 36:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlinggotthejuice
46% · 211 games53% · 186 games
Templar AssassinYuma
Templar Assassin
Monkey King
Monkey KingNiku
57% · 269 games48% · 294 games
Puck4nalog
Puck
Mars
Marspma
52% · 156 games42% · 258 games
DawnbreakerWisper
Dawnbreaker
Disruptor
DisruptorRiddys
45% · 141 game50% · 164 games
MarciScofield
Marci
Magnus
MagnusZayac
57% · 230 games49% · 105 games
BaneKJ
Bane
Game 2prediction correct34:23
Natus Vincere 56%Heroic 44%
The model gave 56% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 36:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlinggotthejuice
49% · 337 games56% · 185 games
Puck4nalog
Puck
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painpma
46% · 256 games62% · 211 games
Monkey KingYuma
Monkey King
Undying
UndyingNiku
46% · 156 games50% · 279 games
BatriderWisper
Batrider
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerZayac
59% · 16 games41% · 80 games
SilencerKJ
Silencer
Pugna
PugnaRiddys
51% · 281 game47% · 291 game
TuskScofield
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 62%
Series resultNatus Vincere 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2