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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Heroicloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 31 game
71%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 26 games
77%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 25 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
72%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 22 games
64%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Dukalis · 20 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 20 games
70%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
No[o]ne · 20 games
70%

Heroic

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 26 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
4nalog · 18 games
33%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 17 games
41%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 15 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 15 games
67%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 15 games
47%
Phoenix
Phoenix
KJ · 15 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
4nalog · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
450 picks · 419 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
365 picks · 195 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
341 picks · 348 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
327 picks · 806 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
320 picks · 851 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
285 picks · 398 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 229 bans
48%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
282 picks · 534 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 54%
Hero pool strength57% PARIVISION
Head-to-head6 – 0
Model total86% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:37
PARIVISION 72%Heroic 28%
The model gave 72% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:05:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tinker
TinkerSatanic
51% · 72 games56% · 276 games
BristlebackWisper
Bristleback
Puck
PuckNo[o]ne
50% · 305 games45% · 76 games
Slardar4nalog
Slardar
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDM
50% · 354 games60% · 256 games
Monkey KingYuma
Monkey King
Snapfire
SnapfireDukalis
47% · 99 games45% · 298 games
BatriderScofield
Batrider
Alchemist
Alchemist9Class
48% · 149 games43% · 73 games
UndyingKJ
Undying
Game 2prediction correct27:15
PARIVISION 73%Heroic 27%
The model gave 73% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
45% · 120 games56% · 176 games
Nature's ProphetYuma
Nature's Prophet
Lycan
LycanDM
49% · 55 games45% · 99 games
Kunkka4nalog
Kunkka
Monkey King
Monkey KingSatanic
57% · 201 game38% · 16 games
PudgeWisper
Pudge
Snapfire
SnapfireDukalis
47% · 90 games45% · 159 games
EnchantressKJ
Enchantress
Alchemist
Alchemist9Class
47% · 75 games62% · 91 game
Nyx AssassinScofield
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 86%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2