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FISSURE Universe: Episode 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 34 games
74%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 26 games
77%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 25 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 24 games
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
75%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
DM · 22 games
77%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 21 game
81%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 30 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 30 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 30 games
57%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 28 games
54%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 25 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 23 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
524 picks · 560 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
388 picks · 230 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
364 picks · 421 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
331 picks · 867 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
327 picks · 481 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
321 picks · 897 bans
59%
Tiny
Tiny
319 picks · 305 bans
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
292 picks · 636 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% PARIVISION
Head-to-head8 – 2
Model total59% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:24
PARIVISION 59%BETBOOM TEAM 41%
The model gave 59% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 52:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSatanic
56% · 125 games42% · 92 games
SvenPure~
Sven
Puck
PuckNo[o]ne
57% · 149 games47% · 65 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Enigma
EnigmaDM
62% · 73 games40% · 123 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Zeus
Zeus9Class
50% · 10 games45% · 148 games
LionSave-
Lion
Enchantress
EnchantressDukalis
50% · 94 games49% · 23 games
IoKataomi
Io
Game 2prediction correct34:21
PARIVISION 52%BETBOOM TEAM 48%
The model gave 52% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 38:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosSatanic
little data57% · 171 game
PuckgpK~
Puck
Primal Beast
Primal BeastNo[o]ne
54% · 107 games51% · 86 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDM
53% · 275 games41% · 48 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Zeus
Zeus9Class
38% · 19 games59% · 109 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Snapfire
SnapfireDukalis
41% · 60 games38% · 47 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 59%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2