Кубок России Сбера 2025 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
4Pirateswin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ТТРУБОПРОХОДЦЫloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4Pirates
Pangolieroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 35 games
Shadow Shamansignature
ariel · 33 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Otaker · 29 games
Tuskoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 24 games
Snipersignature
NattyNarwhal · 23 games
Beastmastersignature
Otaker · 20 games
Axesignature
мистер мораль · 18 games
Batridersignature
ariel · 18 games
ТРУБОПРОХОДЦЫ
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
524 picks · 561 bans
Dark Willow
388 picks · 229 bans
Tusk
364 picks · 421 bans
Puck
330 picks · 862 bans
Pangolier
328 picks · 476 bans
Batrider
320 picks · 891 bans
Tiny
320 picks · 305 bans
Storm Spirit
293 picks · 378 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% 4Pirates
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% 4Pirates
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:9
4Pirates 87%ТРУБОПРОХОДЦЫ 13%
The model gave 87% on 4Pirates — the game was taken by 4Pirates in 19:54.
Game 2prediction correct32:10
4Pirates 87%ТРУБОПРОХОДЦЫ 13%
The model gave 87% on 4Pirates — the game was taken by 4Pirates in 25:32.
Model check result
Model favorite4Pirates · 87%
Series result4Pirates 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2