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FISSURE Universe: Episode 6 · BO2
result vs prediction
AVULUSloss 0:2
series probability
10%90%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

AVULUS

Tiny
Tiny
Mo13ei · 34 games
38%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Fly · 30 games
53%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
dEsire · 24 games
54%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Smiling Knight · 19 games
53%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
dEsire · 18 games
33%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Smiling Knight · 18 games
33%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
dEsire · 16 games
44%
Warlock
Warlock
Fly · 16 games
44%

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 31 game
61%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 30 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 30 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 30 games
57%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 27 games
52%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 24 games
79%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 23 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
524 picks · 561 bans
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
386 picks · 227 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
363 picks · 421 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
330 picks · 857 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
327 picks · 477 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
320 picks · 888 bans
59%
Tiny
Tiny
320 picks · 306 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
293 picks · 374 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 61%
Hero pool strength59% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total90% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:31
AVULUS 23%BETBOOM TEAM 77%
The model gave 77% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonSmiling Knight
51% · 179 games54% · 169 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Beastmaster
BeastmasterXibbe
52% · 314 games48% · 109 games
LycanMieRo
Lycan
Magnus
MagnusWorick
58% · 232 games44% · 365 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Jakiro
JakiroFly
49% · 263 games51% · 298 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Bane
BanedEsire
50% · 141 game44% · 188 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Game 2prediction correct29:37
AVULUS 21%BETBOOM TEAM 79%
The model gave 79% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaSmiling Knight
46% · 114 games58% · 229 games
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritWorick
40% · 104 games62% · 65 games
Void SpiritPure~
Void Spirit
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerXibbe
40% · 155 games43% · 3 games
Lone DruidMieRo
Lone Druid
Hoodwink
HoodwinkdEsire
42% · 89 games57% · 174 games
PugnaKataomi
Pugna
Disruptor
DisruptorFly
39% · 75 games57% · 66 games
BaneSave-
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 90%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2