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FISSURE Universe: Episode 6 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Sneyking · 30 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ATF · 30 games
43%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 28 games
46%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Cr1t- · 23 games
70%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Sneyking · 22 games
50%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Sneyking · 19 games
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Skiter · 18 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
Skiter · 18 games
50%

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 33 games
64%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 30 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 30 games
67%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 28 games
61%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 24 games
79%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
555 picks · 582 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
382 picks · 224 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
371 picks · 424 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
341 picks · 335 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
333 picks · 495 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
327 picks · 857 bans
53%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
321 picks · 683 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
305 picks · 862 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 6
Model total61% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:9
Team Falcons 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 31:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenSkiter
45% · 102 games49% · 132 games
Shadow FiendgpK~
Shadow Fiend
Earthshaker
EarthshakerMalr1ne
49% · 118 games47% · 240 games
MuertaPure~
Muerta
Monkey King
Monkey KingATF
54% · 229 games54% · 133 games
Primal BeastMieRo
Primal Beast
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
52% · 170 games48% · 48 games
DazzleKataomi
Dazzle
Ringmaster
RingmasterCr1t-
50% · 153 games51% · 219 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed31:8
Team Falcons 41%BETBOOM TEAM 59%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 31:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordSkiter
45% · 28 games57% · 65 games
LifestealerPure~
Lifestealer
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
50% · 208 games63% · 39 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Sand King
Sand KingMalr1ne
46% · 114 games49% · 48 games
OmniknightMieRo
Omniknight
Pugna
PugnaSneyking
45% · 126 games50% · 290 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritCr1t-
47% · 66 games49% · 100 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 61%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2