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CIS Battle · BO3
result vs prediction
Odiumloss 0:2
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Odium

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
lupsione · 3 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 2 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Rain · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
lupsione · 2 games
50%
Sven
Svenoften banned
selfhate · 2 games
0%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
selfhate · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
Rain · 2 games
50%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Actor · 2 games
50%

Nemiga Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 15 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 14 games
29%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 12 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 10 games
60%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
xsvampire · 10 games
30%
Windranger
Windranger
xsvampire · 10 games
40%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
bashka · 9 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
bashka · 9 games
22%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
586 picks · 590 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
386 picks · 379 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
376 picks · 419 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
363 picks · 213 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
344 picks · 510 bans
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
338 picks · 709 bans
46%
Puck
Puck
326 picks · 831 bans
54%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
316 picks · 635 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 51%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:41
Odium 32%Nemiga Gaming 68%
The model gave 68% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 31:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracRain
56% · 130 games42% · 188 games
Terrorbladerincyq
Terrorblade
Axe
AxeActor
46% · 115 games54% · 181 game
Storm Spirityoung G
Storm Spirit
Pudge
Pudgeselfhate
50% · 27 games48% · 89 games
Primal BeastCovisnine
Primal Beast
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetLil
55% · 279 games44% · 121 game
Warlockaik
Warlock
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonlupsione
60% · 227 games43% · 199 games
Dark Willowxsvampire
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct27:47
Odium 32%Nemiga Gaming 68%
The model gave 68% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 45:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeselfhate
50% · 201 game55% · 195 games
Templar Assassinrincyq
Templar Assassin
Invoker
InvokerRain
57% · 143 games41% · 163 games
Queen of Painyoung G
Queen of Pain
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerActor
53% · 149 games43% · 141 game
MarsCovisnine
Mars
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorLil
54% · 12 games48% · 52 games
Omniknightaik
Omniknight
Dark Willow
Dark Willowlupsione
55% · 204 games46% · 158 games
Windrangerxsvampire
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 83%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2