European Pro League Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aim Possiblewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Tuskoften banned
Bignum · 25 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 22 games
Pucksignature
RCY · 22 games
Tiny
RCY · 22 games
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 21 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 19 games
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
Aim Possible
Warlock
Aidar · 6 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
chempik · 5 games
Dazzleoften banned
Aidar · 4 games
Disruptor
Htrd · 3 games
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Htrd · 2 games
Jakiro
Aidar · 2 games
Leshrac
Rain · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
585 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
396 picks · 389 bans
Tusk
378 picks · 405 bans
Dark Willow
352 picks · 210 bans
Pangolier
345 picks · 505 bans
Terrorblade
329 picks · 713 bans
Nature's Prophet
321 picks · 625 bans
Puck
320 picks · 814 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 32%
Hero pool strength60% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:25
Wildcard Gaming 72%Aim Possible 28%
The model gave 72% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Aim Possible in 35:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaYamSun
BaneGarbat1y
Earth SpiritRCY
UndyingFayde
ChenSpeeed
RubickBignum
Game 2prediction missed11:23
Wildcard Gaming 70%Aim Possible 30%
The model gave 70% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Aim Possible in 28:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenYamSun
BaneGarbat1y
Queen of PainRCY
Dark SeerFayde
ChenSpeeed
TuskBignum
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 88%
Series resultAim Possible 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2