BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PCPibbles Corploss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Klim Sani4
Dark Willow
swedenstrong · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
mangekyou · 2 games
Kezoften banned
423 · 2 games
Lifestealeroften banned
423 · 2 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Squad1x · 2 games
Winter Wyvern
Rein · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
mangekyou · 1 game
Bounty Hunteroften banned
swedenstrong · 1 game
Pibbles Corp
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
489 picks · 332 bans
Bane
351 picks · 463 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 531 bans
Ember Spirit
324 picks · 503 bans
Shadow Fiend
315 picks · 653 bans
Tiny
291 picks · 321 bans
Windranger
275 picks · 203 bans
Rubick
261 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Klim Sani4 96%Pibbles Corp 4%
The model gave 96% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 96%
Series resultKlim Sani4 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1