BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TeamDkloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Hoodwink
dEsire · 36 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 31 game
Ringmaster
dEsire · 29 games
Tinysignature
Kami · 23 games
Sand Kingsignature
Worick · 20 games
Tusksignature
dEsire · 20 games
Muertasignature
Kami · 19 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 19 games
TeamDk
Hoodwink
Zxca · 2 games
Baneoften banned
Yor · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
Zxca · 1 game
Jakiro
Yor · 1 game
Ringmaster
Zxca · 1 game
Rubick
Zxca · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Chris Luck · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
Yor · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
488 picks · 331 bans
Bane
350 picks · 462 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 528 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 502 bans
Shadow Fiend
315 picks · 651 bans
Tiny
290 picks · 319 bans
Windranger
274 picks · 200 bans
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% TeamDk
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 92%TeamDk 8%
The model gave 92% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 92%
Series resultZero Tenacity 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1