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CIS Battle · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacityloss 0:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yellow Submarinewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 25 games
52%
Puck
Pucksignature
Stojkov · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
Stojkov · 23 games
39%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Retsu · 21 game
52%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Nande · 21 game
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 20 games
30%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Pablo · 20 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
Pablo · 20 games
50%

Yellow Submarine

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
mrls · 17 games
53%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Xakoda · 13 games
46%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Xakoda · 12 games
33%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
mrls · 12 games
25%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Infernal · 11 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 10 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
bottega · 10 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 9 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
578 picks · 577 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 411 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
375 picks · 394 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
349 picks · 520 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
334 picks · 202 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
328 picks · 708 bans
45%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
325 picks · 615 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
313 picks · 785 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 49%
Hero pool strength51% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total65% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Zero Tenacity 65%Yellow Submarine 35%
The model gave 65% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Game 2prediction missed
Zero Tenacity 65%Yellow Submarine 35%
The model gave 65% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 65%
Series resultYellow Submarine 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2