?
arrow_backBack to match
Clavision DOTA2 Masters 2025: Snow-Ruyi · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
GH · 37 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 26 games
54%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
GH · 26 games
58%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
No!ob · 25 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Ghost · 25 games
60%
Puck
Pucksignature
SumaiL · 23 games
61%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 22 games
45%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Ghost · 20 games
50%

Xtreme Gaming

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 30 games
73%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 25 games
36%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Poloson · 24 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 23 games
57%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Ame · 22 games
64%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 19 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
575 picks · 576 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
414 picks · 414 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
375 picks · 394 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
350 picks · 523 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
335 picks · 202 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
330 picks · 713 bans
46%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
329 picks · 616 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
313 picks · 783 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total53% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:22
Nigma Galaxy 48%Xtreme Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 49:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomGhost
54% · 217 games51% · 172 games
MorphlingAme
Morphling
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainSumaiL
44% · 162 games49% · 194 games
DawnbreakerXxs
Dawnbreaker
Primal Beast
Primal BeastNo!ob
38% · 141 game51% · 256 games
Storm SpiritXm
Storm Spirit
Marci
MarciOmaR
48% · 161 game64% · 89 games
Nyx AssassinPyw
Nyx Assassin
Pugna
PugnaGH
53% · 171 game50% · 141 game
WarlockxNova
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct17:29
Nigma Galaxy 46%Xtreme Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 59:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaGhost
52% · 211 games49% · 128 games
SvenAme
Sven
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainSumaiL
40% · 197 games53% · 332 games
BeastmasterXxs
Beastmaster
Primal Beast
Primal BeastNo!ob
48% · 178 games55% · 344 games
Storm SpiritXm
Storm Spirit
Marci
MarciOmaR
44% · 175 games55% · 164 games
PugnaxNova
Pugna
Tusk
TuskGH
48% · 446 games57% · 239 games
Shadow ShamanPyw
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 53%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2