Clavision DOTA2 Masters 2025: Snow-Ruyi · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Beastmastersignature
33 · 42 games
Doomsignature
33 · 36 games
Tusksignature
Saksa · 33 games
Dark Seersignature
33 · 32 games
Tinysignature
Saksa · 29 games
Abaddonsignature
33 · 28 games
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 26 games
Sand Kingsignature
33 · 25 games
Nigma Galaxy
Tuskoften banned
GH · 36 games
Elder Titan
GH · 26 games
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 25 games
Bristlebacksignature
No!ob · 25 games
Morphlingsignature
Ghost · 24 games
Pucksignature
SumaiL · 23 games
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 22 games
Dark Willow
OmaR · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
572 picks · 575 bans
Tiny
415 picks · 413 bans
Tusk
379 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
352 picks · 523 bans
Dark Willow
333 picks · 202 bans
Terrorblade
332 picks · 719 bans
Nature's Prophet
330 picks · 613 bans
Puck
312 picks · 782 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 49%
Hero pool strength55% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total76% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:46
Tundra Esports 68%Nigma Galaxy 32%
The model gave 68% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 1:04:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddonCrystallis
MedusaGhost
Invokerbzm
Storm SpiritSumaiL
Doom33
MarsNo!ob
PugnaSaksa
TuskGH
BaneWhitemon
MarciOmaR
Game 2prediction correct31:12
Tundra Esports 65%Nigma Galaxy 35%
The model gave 65% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 37:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer33
MorphlingGhost
Puckbzm
EarthshakerSumaiL
UrsaCrystallis
MedusaNo!ob
TinySaksa
MarciOmaR
PugnaWhitemon
SilencerGH
Game 3prediction correct21:11
Tundra Esports 64%Nigma Galaxy 36%
The model gave 64% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 23:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer33
Void SpiritSumaiL
BristlebackCrystallis
Lone DruidGhost
Puckbzm
BeastmasterNo!ob
TinySaksa
MarciOmaR
PugnaWhitemon
SilencerGH
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 76%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3