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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 1:2
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Lynxwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Windranger
Windranger
queezy · 21 game
52%
Techies
Techiessignature
Htrd · 19 games
84%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Ainkrad · 18 games
72%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 18 games
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Ainkrad · 17 games
53%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Htrd · 15 games
60%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctorsignature
Htrd · 14 games
71%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Bb3px · 13 games
69%

Team Lynx

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 29 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 26 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 26 games
62%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 24 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 23 games
57%
Techies
Techies
kreker · 21 game
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
45%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 17 games
41%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
490 picks · 330 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
349 picks · 462 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 526 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 503 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
314 picks · 651 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
290 picks · 318 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
273 picks · 200 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
261 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% Level UP
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total72% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
Level UP 72%Team Lynx 28%
The model gave 72% on Level UP — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 18:15.
Game 2prediction correct3:4
Level UP 72%Team Lynx 28%
The model gave 72% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 44:29.
Game 3prediction missed0:0
Level UP 72%Team Lynx 28%
The model gave 72% on Level UP — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 45:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 72%
Series resultTeam Lynx 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3