?
arrow_backBack to match
FISSURE Universe: Episode 6. Play-In · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:1
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
mrls · 21 game
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
erase · 14 games
36%
Tiny
Tinysignature
erase · 13 games
69%
Jakiro
Jakiro
RESPECT · 12 games
58%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
v1olent- · 12 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
mrls · 12 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Malik · 11 games
45%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
mrls · 9 games
56%

Wildcard Gaming

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Bignum · 24 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 23 games
35%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 21 game
48%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 21 game
62%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 20 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 19 games
58%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 19 games
79%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
520 picks · 550 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 428 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
359 picks · 377 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
343 picks · 510 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
321 picks · 710 bans
46%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
312 picks · 561 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
306 picks · 196 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
296 picks · 436 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:9
HULIGANI 45%Wildcard Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusav1olent-
54% · 145 games44% · 147 games
Shadow FiendYamSun
Shadow Fiend
Puck
Puckerase
52% · 248 games45% · 264 games
BeastmasterFayde
Beastmaster
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMalik
52% · 149 games52% · 152 games
EarthshakerRCY
Earthshaker
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritImmersion
52% · 188 games48% · 61 game
UndyingSpeeed
Undying
Dazzle
DazzleRESPECT
61% · 28 games45% · 134 games
LionBignum
Lion
Game 2prediction correct16:20
HULIGANI 42%Wildcard Gaming 58%
The model gave 58% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 39:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Svenv1olent-
42% · 148 games55% · 127 games
DoomYamSun
Doom
Marci
MarciMalik
43% · 144 games47% · 205 games
PuckRCY
Puck
Void Spirit
Void Spiriterase
58% · 151 game57% · 103 games
MagnusFayde
Magnus
Dazzle
DazzleRESPECT
55% · 56 games53% · 48 games
ChenSpeeed
Chen
Ringmaster
RingmasterImmersion
46% · 139 games48% · 155 games
Dark WillowBignum
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2