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Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Tundra Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 39 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 29 games
83%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 25 games
76%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
74%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 23 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 22 games
50%

Tundra Esports

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 44 games
68%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 37 games
78%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 33 games
76%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
33 · 30 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 30 games
70%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
33 · 25 games
64%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
33 · 25 games
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 25 games
72%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
499 picks · 533 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
439 picks · 455 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
365 picks · 361 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
346 picks · 515 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
345 picks · 195 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
342 picks · 725 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 456 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
304 picks · 193 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 61%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total62% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:16
PARIVISION 57%Tundra Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 47:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSatanic
54% · 173 games48% · 112 games
Invokerbzm
Invoker
Undying
UndyingDM
47% · 99 games53% · 145 games
DawnbreakerCrystallis
Dawnbreaker
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
53% · 251 game48% · 77 games
Axe33
Axe
Marci
Marci9Class
47% · 150 games49% · 307 games
TuskSaksa
Tusk
Oracle
OracleDukalis
56% · 34 games47% · 66 games
PugnaWhitemon
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct34:16
PARIVISION 57%Tundra Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 34:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoSatanic
36% · 6 games50% · 90 games
Nature's ProphetCrystallis
Nature's Prophet
Pudge
PudgeNo[o]ne
50% · 4 games55% · 132 games
Puckbzm
Puck
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDM
50% · 252 games49% · 52 games
Underlord33
Underlord
Rubick
Rubick9Class
48% · 88 games48% · 91 game
Crystal MaidenWhitemon
Crystal Maiden
Oracle
OracleDukalis
50% · 44 games54% · 29 games
RikiSaksa
Riki
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 62%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2