Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
Monkey Kingsignature
gpK~ · 30 games
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
Muerta
Save- · 29 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 28 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 28 games
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
Tundra Esports
Beastmastersignature
33 · 45 games
Doomsignature
33 · 37 games
Tusksignature
Saksa · 31 game
Dark Seersignature
33 · 30 games
Invokersignature
bzm · 30 games
Bristlebackoften banned
33 · 25 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 25 games
Sand Kingsignature
33 · 25 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
494 picks · 530 bans
Tiny
440 picks · 458 bans
Tusk
360 picks · 360 bans
Pangolier
348 picks · 513 bans
Ringmaster
347 picks · 198 bans
Terrorblade
344 picks · 725 bans
Storm Spirit
308 picks · 460 bans
Jakiro
307 picks · 195 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 61%
Hero pool strength56% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head2 – 11
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:26
BETBOOM TEAM 51%Tundra Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 47:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BroodmotherPure~
Lycan33
PuckgpK~
Queen of Painbzm
UndyingMieRo
DawnbreakerCrystallis
WarlockKataomi
Shadow ShamanWhitemon
LionSave-
TuskSaksa
Game 2prediction correct31:9
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Tundra Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingPure~
Leshracbzm
PuckgpK~
RazorCrystallis
EarthshakerMieRo
Beastmaster33
Dark WillowSave-
PhoenixWhitemon
Winter WyvernKataomi
Shadow ShamanSaksa
Game 3prediction missed39:36
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Tundra Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 51:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerPure~
Invokerbzm
Queen of PaingpK~
AbaddonCrystallis
Dark SeerMieRo
Axe33
BaneKataomi
UndyingWhitemon
BatriderSave-
Shadow ShamanSaksa
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3