Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
Monkey Kingsignature
gpK~ · 30 games
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
Muerta
Save- · 29 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 28 games
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 26 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
Execration
Terrorbladeoften banned
Akashi · 14 games
Magnusoften banned
Tino- · 11 games
Batridersignature
Shanks · 10 games
Marci
Tino- · 10 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Palos · 9 games
Witch Doctor
cml · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
Shanks · 8 games
Lichsignature
cml · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
478 picks · 519 bans
Tiny
461 picks · 493 bans
Ringmaster
380 picks · 208 bans
Tusk
361 picks · 361 bans
Terrorblade
353 picks · 763 bans
Pangolier
352 picks · 525 bans
Jakiro
339 picks · 220 bans
Kunkka
325 picks · 516 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:33
BETBOOM TEAM 82%Execration 18%
The model gave 82% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 48:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinPure~
AbaddonPalos
Ember SpiritgpK~
VenomancerTino-
OmniknightMieRo
Bounty HunterShanks
Shadow ShamanSave-
Lichcml
MarciKataomi
Game 2prediction correct31:16
BETBOOM TEAM 83%Execration 17%
The model gave 83% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerPure~
BeastmasterTino-
OmniknightMieRo
KunkkaPalos
Ember SpiritgpK~
Dark WillowShanks
Nature's ProphetKataomi
Enchantresscml
Shadow ShamanSave-
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 95%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2