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Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
Talon Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Mikoto · 27 games
52%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Jhocam · 24 games
75%
Lina
Linasignature
Mikoto · 23 games
78%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Mikoto · 23 games
57%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Ws · 21 game
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 21 game
38%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mikoto · 21 game
52%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Jhocam · 20 games
60%

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 30 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 29 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 24 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 23 games
61%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Ame · 23 games
61%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Poloson · 22 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ame · 20 games
55%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
476 picks · 517 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
460 picks · 493 bans
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
380 picks · 208 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
361 picks · 361 bans
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
353 picks · 761 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
350 picks · 524 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
339 picks · 220 bans
46%
Kunkka
Kunkka
325 picks · 514 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total62% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:19
Talon Esports 43%Xtreme Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 34:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphling23savage
52% · 145 games49% · 127 games
Shadow FiendAme
Shadow Fiend
Puck
PuckMikoto
48% · 164 games48% · 137 games
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
Centaur Warrunner
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiWs
51% · 49 games50% · 77 games
SlardarXm
Slardar
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanJhocam
51% · 144 games47% · 127 games
RubickXinQ
Rubick
Warlock
WarlockKuku
42% · 95 games61% · 129 games
Naga SirenPoloson
Naga Siren
Game 2prediction missed34:14
Talon Esports 47%Xtreme Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 47:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet23savage
54% · 144 games43% · 3 games
Phantom LancerAme
Phantom Lancer
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendMikoto
47% · 101 game39% · 155 games
Queen of PainXm
Queen of Pain
Pangolier
PangolierWs
48% · 412 games50% · 208 games
Primal BeastXxs
Primal Beast
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKuku
51% · 95 games51% · 478 games
TinyXinQ
Tiny
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanJhocam
56% · 183 games58% · 91 game
BanePoloson
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 62%
Accuracy by game1 of 2