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Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Heroicloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 38 games
76%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 29 games
83%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
74%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 23 games
78%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 21 game
81%

Heroic

Magnus
Magnussignature
Wisper · 29 games
62%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Scofield · 27 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 26 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 24 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 21 game
57%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 21 game
38%
Muerta
Muerta
Scofield · 20 games
55%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
478 picks · 509 bans
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
470 picks · 512 bans
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
402 picks · 212 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
373 picks · 364 bans
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
365 picks · 773 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
359 picks · 242 bans
45%
Pangolier
Pangolier
351 picks · 529 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
334 picks · 501 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 52%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total89% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:13
PARIVISION 74%Heroic 26%
The model gave 74% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 39:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSatanic
50% · 120 games48% · 148 games
Templar AssassinYuma
Templar Assassin
Kunkka
KunkkaNo[o]ne
44% · 138 games60% · 149 games
Magnus4nalog
Magnus
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiDM
43% · 71 game49% · 67 games
AxeWisper
Axe
Chen
ChenDukalis
57% · 102 games50% · 118 games
EnigmaKJ
Enigma
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
45% · 218 games51% · 167 games
Shadow ShamanScofield
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct54:36
PARIVISION 74%Heroic 26%
The model gave 74% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:04:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomSatanic
55% · 205 games49% · 128 games
Dark SeerWisper
Dark Seer
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
47% · 107 games56% · 37 games
SpectreYuma
Spectre
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiDM
50% · 111 games54% · 128 games
Shadow Fiend4nalog
Shadow Fiend
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
47% · 190 games50% · 257 games
PhoenixKJ
Phoenix
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
42% · 47 games49% · 110 games
MarciScofield
Marci
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 89%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2