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Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 46 games
72%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 35 games
80%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 30 games
70%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
33 · 28 games
64%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 28 games
75%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 27 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
33 · 25 games
52%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
33 · 25 games
72%

Virtus.pro

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Daxak · 22 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Lorenof · 22 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 20 games
50%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Rein · 18 games
56%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Daxak · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
prblms · 14 games
79%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Daxak · 14 games
79%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Nande · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
482 picks · 519 bans
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
469 picks · 509 bans
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
406 picks · 212 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
377 picks · 367 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
366 picks · 248 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
366 picks · 783 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
350 picks · 529 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
340 picks · 505 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:13
Tundra Esports 78%Virtus.pro 22%
The model gave 78% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 36:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomCrystallis
56% · 111 games50% · 126 games
AbaddonV-Tune
Abaddon
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritbzm
52% · 144 games55% · 65 games
LeshracLorenof
Leshrac
Axe
Axe33
53% · 34 games47% · 212 games
Dark SeerDaxak
Dark Seer
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSaksa
48% · 121 game40% · 38 games
Chaos KnightAntares
Chaos Knight
Warlock
WarlockWhitemon
44% · 101 game50% · 70 games
DisruptorRein
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct26:17
Tundra Esports 77%Virtus.pro 23%
The model gave 77% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 47:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomCrystallis
51% · 176 games53% · 86 games
AbaddonV-Tune
Abaddon
Visage
Visage33
53% · 36 games45% · 264 games
Dragon KnightLorenof
Dragon Knight
Puck
Puckbzm
53% · 164 games48% · 50 games
AxeDaxak
Axe
Enchantress
EnchantressWhitemon
48% · 124 games54% · 134 games
RubickAntares
Rubick
Marci
MarciSaksa
46% · 77 games49% · 43 games
DisruptorRein
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 91%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2