?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Disruptor
Disruptor
Fishman · 20 games
45%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Cloud · 18 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 18 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Munkushi~ · 18 games
72%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SSS · 16 games
56%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Munkushi~ · 16 games
44%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
SSS · 13 games
77%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Munkushi~ · 13 games
62%

Wildcard Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 28 games
36%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Fayde · 25 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 25 games
48%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 24 games
58%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 24 games
83%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 23 games
70%
Tusk
Tusk
Bignum · 22 games
55%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
48%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
496 picks · 535 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
464 picks · 506 bans
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
419 picks · 217 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
382 picks · 370 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
379 picks · 260 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
369 picks · 799 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 533 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
343 picks · 517 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:22
1w Team 53%Wildcard Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 48:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomMunkushi~
58% · 188 games48% · 78 games
LifestealerYamSun
Lifestealer
Monkey King
Monkey KingSquad1x
58% · 195 games41% · 190 games
PuckRCY
Puck
Dazzle
DazzleSSS
55% · 39 games53% · 74 games
SlardarFayde
Slardar
Warlock
Warlockkasane
44% · 202 games47% · 232 games
JakiroSpeeed
Jakiro
Riki
Rikiswedenstrong
48% · 55 games48% · 105 games
MarciBignum
Marci
Game 2prediction correct32:11
1w Team 51%Wildcard Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 33:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerMunkushi~
55% · 89 games46% · 116 games
TerrorbladeYamSun
Terrorblade
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerSSS
41% · 170 games51% · 82 games
InvokerRCY
Invoker
Leshrac
LeshracSquad1x
47% · 68 games63% · 70 games
Night StalkerFayde
Night Stalker
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunterswedenstrong
50% · 72 games46% · 124 games
Dark WillowSpeeed
Dark Willow
Dazzle
Dazzlekasane
47% · 33 games57% · 40 games
RikiBignum
Riki
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 53%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2