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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
eSpoiledloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 27 games
37%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Fayde · 25 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 25 games
48%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 24 games
58%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 21 game
86%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
48%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 21 game
67%
Tusk
Tusk
Bignum · 19 games
53%

eSpoiled

Tusk
Tusk
Wein · 8 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
Wein · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
asdekor_r · 6 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Wein · 6 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
ssnovv1 · 6 games
33%
Sven
Sven
ssnovv1 · 5 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wein · 4 games
100%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
ssnovv1 · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
504 picks · 539 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
452 picks · 496 bans
56%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
430 picks · 223 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
385 picks · 280 bans
46%
Tusk
Tusk
374 picks · 365 bans
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
365 picks · 803 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
354 picks · 524 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
354 picks · 516 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:25
Wildcard Gaming 66%eSpoiled 34%
The model gave 66% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 45:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeYamSun
47% · 178 games50% · 235 games
Templar Assassinssnovv1
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritRCY
57% · 160 games58% · 289 games
PuckMirage
Puck
Brewmaster
BrewmasterFayde
43% · 81 game45% · 162 games
MarciWein
Marci
Jakiro
JakiroSpeeed
39% · 159 games64% · 46 games
Baneasdekor_r
Bane
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBignum
48% · 154 games
Game 2prediction correct36:20
Wildcard Gaming 68%eSpoiled 32%
The model gave 68% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 37:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinYamSun
58% · 90 games44% · 220 games
Nature's Prophetssnovv1
Nature's Prophet
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerFayde
53% · 100 games51% · 76 games
LeshracMirage
Leshrac
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritRCY
49% · 143 games51% · 178 games
Pugnaasdekor_r
Pugna
Enchantress
EnchantressSpeeed
46% · 119 games48% · 190 games
MarciWein
Marci
Tusk
TuskBignum
54% · 212 games
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 81%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2