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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 2:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Zero Tenacityloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
re1bl · 16 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
mrls · 12 games
50%
Muerta
Muertasignature
mrls · 11 games
64%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ififall · 10 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
bottega · 9 games
22%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 9 games
22%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
mrls · 8 games
63%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Xakoda · 8 games
38%

Zero Tenacity

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Stojkov · 28 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 27 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 25 games
52%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Pablo · 24 games
58%
Rubick
Rubick
Pablo · 24 games
46%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 23 games
61%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 23 games
26%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Retsu · 23 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
510 picks · 536 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
444 picks · 493 bans
56%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
433 picks · 230 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
389 picks · 290 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
373 picks · 359 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
365 picks · 806 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
356 picks · 514 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
351 picks · 526 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total51% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Yellow Submarine 51%Zero Tenacity 49%
The model gave 51% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Yellow Submarine 51%Zero Tenacity 49%
The model gave 51% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Game 3prediction correct
Yellow Submarine 51%Zero Tenacity 49%
The model gave 51% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 51%
Series resultYellow Submarine 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3