BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTGthe goal of all life is deathloss 0:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CCrescentwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
the goal of all life is death
Crystal Maiden
Marlin · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Summer · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Night · 1 game
Iooften banned
Marlin · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
Summer · 1 game
Lion
Marlin · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Night · 1 game
Crescent
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
487 picks · 330 bans
Bane
345 picks · 461 bans
Clockwerk
337 picks · 522 bans
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 501 bans
Shadow Fiend
313 picks · 647 bans
Tiny
287 picks · 316 bans
Windranger
273 picks · 198 bans
Rubick
261 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Crescent
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% the goal of all life is death
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
the goal of all life is death 70%Crescent 30%
The model gave 70% on the goal of all life is death — the game was taken by Crescent.
Game 2prediction missed
the goal of all life is death 70%Crescent 30%
The model gave 70% on the goal of all life is death — the game was taken by Crescent.
Model check result
Model favoritethe goal of all life is death · 70%
Series resultCrescent 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2