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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aim Possibleloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Passion UAwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aim Possible

Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
chempik · 5 games
40%
Warlock
Warlock
Aidar · 5 games
40%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Aidar · 4 games
25%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 3 games
0%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Htrd · 2 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Htrd · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Aidar · 2 games
0%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Rain · 2 games
0%

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 23 games
35%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 19 games
53%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Batyuk · 17 games
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 16 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 14 games
21%
Phoenix
Phoenix
kreker · 14 games
36%
Windranger
Windranger
QBFY · 13 games
31%
Jakiro
Jakiro
kreker · 12 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
528 picks · 563 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
460 picks · 233 bans
51%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
438 picks · 484 bans
55%
Jakiro
Jakiro
409 picks · 323 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
384 picks · 823 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
378 picks · 362 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 530 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 533 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total70% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Aim Possible 30%Passion UA 70%
The model gave 70% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Aim Possible 30%Passion UA 70%
The model gave 70% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 70%
Series resultPassion UA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2