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European Pro League Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamloss 0:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Kalmychatawin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 17 games
41%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
emptiness · 15 games
20%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 12 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
42%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Palantimos · 11 games
55%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 11 games
27%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
20%

Kalmychata

Sven
Svensignature
rincyq · 6 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
fortniteMan · 5 games
60%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
Ponlo · 4 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Mirage · 3 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
meLes · 3 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
aik · 2 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
meLes · 2 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Mirage · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
527 picks · 569 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
462 picks · 234 bans
51%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
436 picks · 484 bans
56%
Jakiro
Jakiro
412 picks · 326 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
385 picks · 826 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
378 picks · 360 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 530 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 537 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 64%
Hero pool strength59% Kalmychata
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Kalmychata
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Quantum Team 42%Kalmychata 58%
The model gave 58% on Kalmychata — the game was taken by Kalmychata.
Model check result
Model favoriteKalmychata · 58%
Series resultKalmychata 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1