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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Passion UAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 26 games
31%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Stojkov · 26 games
38%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 24 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 24 games
29%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Pablo · 24 games
58%
Rubick
Rubick
Pablo · 24 games
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 24 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Retsu · 23 games
61%

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 23 games
35%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 19 games
53%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Batyuk · 17 games
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 16 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 14 games
21%
Phoenix
Phoenix
kreker · 14 games
36%
Windranger
Windranger
QBFY · 13 games
31%
Jakiro
Jakiro
kreker · 12 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
532 picks · 598 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
483 picks · 244 bans
52%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
434 picks · 477 bans
56%
Jakiro
Jakiro
425 picks · 359 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
400 picks · 841 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
386 picks · 365 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
375 picks · 550 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
363 picks · 535 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 36%
Hero pool strength55% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total67% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 67%Passion UA 33%
The model gave 67% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 67%Passion UA 33%
The model gave 67% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 67%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2