PARIVISION vs Team Yandex — prediction FUE 5 · Dota 2

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FISSURE Universe: Episode 5 · BO2

result vs prediction

PARIVISIONwin 2:0

series probability

97%3%

probability at match start · final 2:0

Team Yandexloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorbladesignature

Satanic · 37 games

78%

Jakirosignature

Dukalis · 29 games

69%

Bristlebacksignature

DM · 28 games

86%

Phantom Assassinsignature

Satanic · 26 games

73%

Monkey Kingoften banned

No[o]ne · 21 game

57%

Ringmastersignature

Dukalis · 21 game

81%

Ancient Apparitionsignature

Dukalis · 20 games

65%

Enigmasignature

DM · 20 games

80%

Team Yandex

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Tiny

533 picks · 600 bans

50%

Ringmaster

484 picks · 244 bans

52%

Shadow Shaman

434 picks · 474 bans

56%

Jakiro

427 picks · 360 bans

46%

Terrorblade

403 picks · 840 bans

47%

Tusk

385 picks · 365 bans

48%

Storm Spirit

376 picks · 550 bans

49%

Pangolier

363 picks · 533 bans

49%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)76% vs 50%

Hero pool strength64% PARIVISION

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total97% PARIVISION

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct26:5

PARIVISION 86%Team Yandex 14%

The model gave 86% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 38:11.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo