Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Черногорияloss 0:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Литваwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Черногория
No games played over 6 months.
Литва
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
631 picks · 444 bans
Rubick
597 picks · 340 bans
Pangolier
436 picks · 643 bans
Phoenix
423 picks · 490 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 356 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 381 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 497 bans
Puck
318 picks · 977 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Черногория
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Черногория
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Черногория 60%Литва 40%
The model gave 60% on Черногория — the game was taken by Литва.
Model check result
Model favoriteЧерногория · 60%
Series resultЛитва 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1