CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
TNL DOTAwin 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TNL DOTA
Dark Willowsignature
Fernans · 7 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Norma · 7 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 7 games
Tusk
Fernans · 6 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Norma · 4 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
flacko · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
yowaai · 4 games
Nemiga Gaming
Jakiro
monodrama · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 11 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 9 games
Windranger
xsvampire · 8 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
young G · 7 games
Muerta
Shishak · 7 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 7 games
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
543 picks · 608 bans
Ringmaster
487 picks · 245 bans
Jakiro
432 picks · 378 bans
Shadow Shaman
432 picks · 475 bans
Terrorblade
405 picks · 851 bans
Tusk
388 picks · 362 bans
Storm Spirit
382 picks · 555 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 533 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% TNL DOTA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% TNL DOTA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
TNL DOTA 53%Nemiga Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on TNL DOTA — the game was taken by TNL DOTA.
Game 2prediction correct
TNL DOTA 53%Nemiga Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on TNL DOTA — the game was taken by TNL DOTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNL DOTA · 53%
Series resultTNL DOTA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2