CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 26 games
Tinyoften banned
Stojkov · 26 games
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 24 games
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 24 games
Earthshaker
Pablo · 24 games
Rubick
Pablo · 24 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 24 games
Enigmasignature
Nefrit · 23 games
Quantum Team
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 17 games
Batrideroften banned
emptiness · 15 games
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 12 games
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Palantimos · 11 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 11 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
544 picks · 605 bans
Ringmaster
487 picks · 247 bans
Jakiro
432 picks · 381 bans
Shadow Shaman
431 picks · 473 bans
Terrorblade
405 picks · 850 bans
Tusk
388 picks · 360 bans
Storm Spirit
382 picks · 554 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 533 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 39%
Hero pool strength56% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total66% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 66%Quantum Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 66%Quantum Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 66%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2