BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Majestic Esportsloss 0:1series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:1
summer bearwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Majestic Esports
No games played over 6 months.
summer bear
Techies
Delight · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
kae · 9 games
Hoodwink
Delight · 8 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
azimoff · 5 games
Muertaoften banned
zuyzyan · 5 games
Ogre Magi
monodrama · 5 games
Undyingoften banned
monodrama · 5 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
zuyzyan · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
485 picks · 328 bans
Bane
345 picks · 459 bans
Clockwerk
335 picks · 518 bans
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 500 bans
Shadow Fiend
311 picks · 643 bans
Tiny
285 picks · 314 bans
Windranger
271 picks · 196 bans
Rubick
259 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 48%
Hero pool strength52% Majestic Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% summer bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Majestic Esports 26%summer bear 74%
The model gave 74% on summer bear — the game was taken by summer bear.
Model check result
Model favoritesummer bear · 74%
Series resultsummer bear 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1