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PGL Wallachia Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 29 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
56%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pure~ · 24 games
58%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 23 games
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 20 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 20 games
60%

Virtus.pro

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 22 games
55%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Daxak · 20 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Daxak · 16 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
prblms · 15 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Rein · 15 games
47%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Rein · 15 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Nande · 15 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
570 picks · 644 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
490 picks · 249 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
472 picks · 423 bans
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
407 picks · 858 bans
47%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
392 picks · 447 bans
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
384 picks · 565 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
379 picks · 338 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
354 picks · 834 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:9
BETBOOM TEAM 71%Virtus.pro 29%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkagpK~
51% · 135 games48% · 228 games
TerrorbladeV-Tune
Terrorblade
Lifestealer
LifestealerPure~
55% · 58 games48% · 112 games
SniperLorenof
Sniper
Pangolier
PangolierMieRo
47% · 297 games48% · 87 games
BrewmasterDaxak
Brewmaster
Death Prophet
Death ProphetSave-
51% · 68 games50% · 214 games
Dark WillowAntares
Dark Willow
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetKataomi
51% · 142 games53% · 59 games
UndyingRein
Undying
Game 2prediction correct25:6
BETBOOM TEAM 72%Virtus.pro 28%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerPure~
47% · 51 game51% · 43 games
AbaddonV-Tune
Abaddon
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
55% · 179 games44% · 83 games
SniperLorenof
Sniper
Axe
AxeMieRo
55% · 25 games53% · 43 games
TinkerAntares
Tinker
Death Prophet
Death ProphetSave-
56% · 36 games47% · 117 games
Centaur WarrunnerDaxak
Centaur Warrunner
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKataomi
45% · 40 games49% · 45 games
UndyingRein
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 87%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2