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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
chandogsloss 0:1
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

chandogs

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
0%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
0%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
S1RENM · 1 game
0%

Nemiga Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 24 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
39%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 23 games
35%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 21 game
38%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 20 games
50%
Techies
Techies
ariel · 18 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
ariel · 17 games
47%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
482 picks · 328 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
344 picks · 459 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
334 picks · 515 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 501 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 641 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 313 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 195 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:36
chandogs 23%Nemiga Gaming 77%
The model gave 77% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 39:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 77%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1