BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
No Bounty Hunterloss 0:1series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PuckChampwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Bounty Hunter
No games played over 6 months.
PuckChamp
Techiessignature
Gothic- · 10 games
Hoodwink
Gothic- · 9 games
Linaoften banned
спортик · 9 games
Ringmaster
Hyugadoto · 9 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Yuragi · 8 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
krol9ash · 7 games
Tinyoften banned
Yuragi · 7 games
Grimstroke
Hyugadoto · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
483 picks · 328 bans
Bane
344 picks · 459 bans
Clockwerk
334 picks · 517 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 500 bans
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 643 bans
Tiny
285 picks · 313 bans
Windranger
269 picks · 196 bans
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 36%
Hero pool strength55% No Bounty Hunter
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% PuckChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
No Bounty Hunter 22%PuckChamp 78%
The model gave 78% on PuckChamp — the game was taken by PuckChamp.
Model check result
Model favoritePuckChamp · 78%
Series resultPuckChamp 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1