European Pro League Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Tidehunteroften banned
StoneBank · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
StoneBank · 3 games
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 3 games
Slardaroften banned
StoneBank · 3 games
Wraith King
StoneBank · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
lightless · 2 games
Omniknightoften banned
StoneBank · 2 games
Team Hryvnia
Dawnbreakeroften banned
StoneBank · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Puckoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
565 picks · 637 bans
Ringmaster
490 picks · 248 bans
Jakiro
464 picks · 424 bans
Terrorblade
400 picks · 854 bans
Shadow Shaman
383 picks · 436 bans
Storm Spirit
378 picks · 564 bans
Tusk
374 picks · 327 bans
Ancient Apparition
356 picks · 834 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Lynx 60%Team Hryvnia 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Lynx 60%Team Hryvnia 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 60%
Series resultTeam Lynx 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2