BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 1:0series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 1:0
EOEast onlyloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Windranger
queezy · 21 game
Ember Spiritsignature
Ainkrad · 19 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 19 games
Techiessignature
Htrd · 19 games
Void Spirit
Ainkrad · 17 games
Undyingoften banned
Htrd · 16 games
Witch Doctorsignature
Htrd · 15 games
Tidehuntersignature
Bb3px · 14 games
East only
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
482 picks · 328 bans
Bane
344 picks · 459 bans
Clockwerk
334 picks · 516 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 500 bans
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 642 bans
Tiny
285 picks · 313 bans
Windranger
268 picks · 196 bans
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Level UP
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Level UP 95%East only 5%
The model gave 95% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 95%
Series resultLevel UP 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1