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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:0
4ikibamboniloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 24 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
39%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 23 games
35%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 21 game
38%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 20 games
50%
Techies
Techies
ariel · 18 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
ariel · 17 games
47%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 16 games
50%

4ikibamboni

Tusk
Tusksignature
waveformn · 13 games
62%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 12 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
waveformn · 11 games
73%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Ankou · 10 games
40%
Bane
Baneoften banned
ani-san · 8 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
waveformn · 8 games
63%
Viper
Vipersignature
Ethereal · 8 games
88%
Windranger
Windranger
waveformn · 8 games
13%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
481 picks · 329 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
344 picks · 459 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
334 picks · 514 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 502 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
311 picks · 641 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 313 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 194 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
259 picks · 146 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 58%
Hero pool strength53% 4ikibamboni
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:30
Nemiga Gaming 53%4ikibamboni 47%
The model gave 53% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 49:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendyoung G
56% · 229 games50% · 226 games
Nature's Prophetyowaai
Nature's Prophet
Lina
LinaNattyNarwhal
50% · 82 games47% · 421 game
Dragon KnightEthereal
Dragon Knight
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerhotoke^^
52% · 328 games46% · 182 games
DawnbreakerAnkou
Dawnbreaker
Ringmaster
RingmasterCovisnine
49% · 175 games41% · 295 games
Dark Willowwaveformn
Dark Willow
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkariel
55% · 463 games54% · 153 games
Winter Wyvernani-san
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 58%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1