BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Rottweilas LATAMloss 0:1series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Level UPwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rottweilas LATAM
No games played over 6 months.
Level UP
Windranger
queezy · 21 game
Ember Spiritsignature
Ainkrad · 19 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 19 games
Techiessignature
Htrd · 19 games
Void Spirit
Ainkrad · 17 games
Undyingoften banned
Htrd · 16 games
Witch Doctorsignature
Htrd · 15 games
Tidehuntersignature
Bb3px · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
481 picks · 329 bans
Bane
344 picks · 459 bans
Clockwerk
334 picks · 514 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 501 bans
Shadow Fiend
311 picks · 641 bans
Tiny
285 picks · 313 bans
Windranger
270 picks · 194 bans
Rubick
259 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 66%
Hero pool strength58% Level UP
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
Rottweilas LATAM 18%Level UP 82%
The model gave 82% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 43:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 82%
Series resultLevel UP 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1