Национальная студенческая лига киберспорта Сбера 2025 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs predictionССФУloss 1:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
УрФУwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
СФУ
No games played over 6 months.
УрФУ
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
557 picks · 616 bans
Ringmaster
480 picks · 240 bans
Jakiro
462 picks · 434 bans
Terrorblade
394 picks · 808 bans
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 540 bans
Ancient Apparition
356 picks · 815 bans
Tusk
351 picks · 316 bans
Shadow Shaman
348 picks · 397 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% СФУ
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total51% УрФУ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:36
СФУ 49%УрФУ 51%
The model gave 51% on УрФУ — the game was taken by СФУ in 37:24.
Game 2prediction correct10:29
СФУ 49%УрФУ 51%
The model gave 51% on УрФУ — the game was taken by УрФУ in 31:15.
Game 3prediction correct10:28
СФУ 49%УрФУ 51%
The model gave 51% on УрФУ — the game was taken by УрФУ in 35:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteУрФУ · 51%
Series resultУрФУ 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3