Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zhouloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Maybewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Zhou
No games played over 6 months.
Team Maybe
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
557 picks · 616 bans
Ringmaster
480 picks · 240 bans
Jakiro
462 picks · 434 bans
Terrorblade
394 picks · 807 bans
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 539 bans
Ancient Apparition
356 picks · 814 bans
Tusk
351 picks · 316 bans
Shadow Shaman
348 picks · 395 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 80%
Hero pool strength50% Team Zhou
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Team Maybe
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:25
Team Zhou 35%Team Maybe 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Maybe — the game was taken by Team Maybe in 46:09.
Game 2prediction correct39:21
Team Zhou 35%Team Maybe 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Maybe — the game was taken by Team Maybe in 44:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Maybe · 65%
Series resultTeam Maybe 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2