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Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 3:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 3:0
OG LATAMloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 24 games
67%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Wisper · 24 games
63%
Muerta
Muerta
Scofield · 20 games
55%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 19 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 18 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
KJ · 17 games
29%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Scofield · 17 games
59%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Wisper · 15 games
67%

OG LATAM

Tusk
Tusk
Elmisho · 11 games
55%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
MoOz · 9 games
56%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 7 games
29%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ILICH- · 7 games
57%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 7 games
43%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 7 games
29%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
TaiLung · 6 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
K1 · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
554 picks · 615 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
478 picks · 240 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
461 picks · 434 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
393 picks · 804 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
360 picks · 537 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
354 picks · 810 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
351 picks · 311 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
345 picks · 392 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% Heroic
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total77% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:18
Heroic 65%OG LATAM 35%
The model gave 65% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 46:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinYuma
50% · 157 games44% · 94 games
AbaddonK1
Abaddon
Monkey King
Monkey King4nalog
56% · 256 games45% · 195 games
DoomILICH-
Doom
Magnus
MagnusWisper
54% · 227 games49% · 205 games
Ember SpiritTaiLung
Ember Spirit
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanScofield
50% · 170 games48% · 114 games
Ancient ApparitionMoOz
Ancient Apparition
Mirana
MiranaKJ
56% · 101 game48% · 303 games
ClockwerkElmisho
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct31:13
Heroic 66%OG LATAM 34%
The model gave 66% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 39:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYuma
57% · 41 game46% · 248 games
TerrorbladeK1
Terrorblade
Beastmaster
Beastmaster4nalog
49% · 263 games50% · 49 games
Death ProphetTaiLung
Death Prophet
Brewmaster
BrewmasterWisper
51% · 106 games54% · 48 games
SlardarILICH-
Slardar
Dark Willow
Dark WillowScofield
50% · 131 game44% · 59 games
OracleElmisho
Oracle
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKJ
52% · 44 games52% · 181 game
JakiroMoOz
Jakiro
Game 3prediction correct29:6
Heroic 67%OG LATAM 33%
The model gave 67% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 34:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
Lina4nalog
58% · 125 games47% · 154 games
AlchemistK1
Alchemist
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYuma
52% · 318 games50% · 458 games
BeastmasterILICH-
Beastmaster
Doom
DoomWisper
49% · 210 games50% · 323 games
Monkey KingTaiLung
Monkey King
Tiny
TinyScofield
49% · 474 games42% · 176 games
RingmasterMoOz
Ringmaster
Enigma
EnigmaKJ
62% · 184 games42% · 200 games
WarlockElmisho
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 77%
Series resultHeroic 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3