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Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OG LATAMwin 2:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Sin Compromisoloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG LATAM

Tusk
Tusk
Elmisho · 11 games
55%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
MoOz · 8 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 7 games
29%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 7 games
43%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 7 games
29%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ILICH- · 6 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
TaiLung · 6 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
K1 · 6 games
50%

Team Sin Compromiso

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Genek · 7 games
71%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Panda · 5 games
80%
Lina
Lina
Parker · 5 games
100%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Panda · 5 games
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 5 games
80%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
DarkMago · 5 games
80%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Sacred · 4 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
552 picks · 615 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
478 picks · 240 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
460 picks · 434 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
391 picks · 804 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
360 picks · 535 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
354 picks · 810 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
351 picks · 309 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
344 picks · 391 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 71%
Hero pool strength63% Team Sin Compromiso
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total58% Team Sin Compromiso
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:12
OG LATAM 45%Team Sin Compromiso 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 26:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordK1
47% · 69 games49% · 256 games
GyrocopterParker
Gyrocopter
Kunkka
KunkkaTaiLung
51% · 213 games55% · 168 games
Sand KingDarkMago
Sand King
Batrider
BatriderILICH-
49% · 363 games51% · 191 game
TerrorbladeSacred
Terrorblade
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMoOz
53% · 379 games48% · 402 games
TinyGenek
Tiny
Oracle
OracleElmisho
57% · 43 games41% · 50 games
SilencerStingeR
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed46:21
OG LATAM 45%Team Sin Compromiso 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 57:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordK1
50% · 118 games52% · 252 games
TerrorbladeParker
Terrorblade
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritTaiLung
53% · 450 games50% · 134 games
KunkkaDarkMago
Kunkka
Pangolier
PangolierILICH-
45% · 549 games50% · 268 games
Dark SeerSacred
Dark Seer
Disruptor
DisruptorElmisho
49% · 84 games47% · 511 games
TinyGenek
Tiny
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMoOz
55% · 272 games47% · 308 games
JakiroStingeR
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sin Compromiso · 58%
Series resultOG LATAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2